Sustainability, Clean Energy, Recycling & ESG

Demand And Infrastructure For SAF Is Likely Well Ahead Of Supply

Apr 19, 2022 1:34:16 PM / by Graham Copley posted in ESG, Climate Change, Sustainability, IEA, renewable energy, EVs, materials, sustainable aviation fuel, renewable fuels, fuel, material shortages, carbon intensity, battery, nickel, SAF, airlines

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In our ESG and Climate report tomorrow, we will focus on SAF from a carbon intensity perspective. The Colonial pipeline initiative was inevitable given the demand for jet fuel at the East Coast airports. Still, we would not expect much volume to move in the near term for several reasons. First, there is not that much to move, and second, California can still pay more because of the LCFS credit. The Biden administration is planning to introduce a broad SAF credit which would help encourage use outside California, but this would also need to stimulate production as the volumes are still small and much smaller than the airlines would want – even the projection of volumes by bodies like the IEA fall well short of potential airline demand by 2030 and 2040. This is an investable theme, in our view, and we will discuss it in more detail tomorrow.

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